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Research papers, University of Canterbury Library

This paper presents on-going challenges in the present paradigm shift of earthquakeinduced ground motion prediction from empirical to physics-based simulation methods. The 2010-2011 Canterbury and 2016 Kaikoura earthquakes are used to illustrate the predictive potential of the different methods. On-going efforts on simulation validation and theoretical developments are then presented, as well as the demands associated with the need for explicit consideration of modelling uncertainties. Finally, discussion is also given to the tools and databases needed for the efficient utilization of simulated ground motions both in specific engineering projects as well as for near-real-time impact assessment.

Images, eqnz.chch.2010

Photos taken in Lyttelton following the February 22 earthquake. Permit authorised by commanding officer HMNZS Canterbury. File ref: CCL-2011-03-05-After-The-Earthquake-P1110452 From the collection of Christchurch City Libraries

Images, UC QuakeStudies

A photograph of the Townsend Telescope in the Observatory at the Christchurch Arts Centre. This image was used by Graeme Kershaw, Technician at the University of Canterbury Department of Physics and Astronomy, to identify the telescope's parts after the 22 February 2011 earthquake.

Images, UC QuakeStudies

A photograph of the Townsend Telescope in the Observatory at the Christchurch Arts Centre. This image was used by Graeme Kershaw, Technician at the University of Canterbury Department of Physics and Astronomy, to identify the telescope's parts after the 22 February 2011 earthquake.